Will Sonic The Hedgehog Beat Birds Of Prey At The Box Office This Weekend?

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After a delay of several months to accommodate a much-needed redesign of the titular character, Sonic the Hedgehog finally races into theaters this weekend. The Blue Blur is used to coming in first place but he will not be running unopposed in the race at the box office, he’ll be up against some other new releases, as well as a holdover in Margot Robbie’s Harley Quinn. So will Sonic the Hedgehog beat Birds of Prey at the box office this weekend?

 

Harley Quinn is going to need to strap some rocket boosters to her roller blades because there’s pretty much no way she’s catching Sonic. The adaptation of the iconic Sega mascot is tracking to open with $40 million to $45 million from 4,130 locations over the four-day President’s Day weekend according to Variety. Those figures should allow to Sonic the Hedgehog to easily cross the finish line first, well ahead of the competition.

 

A $40 to $45 million opening weekend is basically in line with the more recent tracking for Sonic the Hedgehog that had it pegged to debut with $41 million to $47 million. So that seems to be where things are trending, which is a much more positive outlook than this film previously had. Back at the beginning of the year, the long-range tracking for Sonic only anticipated a $20-$30 million four-day start.

 

If the box office shakes out this way, with Sonic the Hedgehog coming in first place, it will be an impressive win, but a predictable one given the performance of Birds of Prey. Cathy Yan’s DC film opened last weekend well below expectations to $33.2 million. This race might have been closer if these films came out the same weekend, but given Birds of Prey’s inevitable drop in its second frame, Sonic will be the clear winner.